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Thursday 2nd December 2021 : Technical Outlook and Review

DXY:

On the H4 timeframe, prices have broken out of our bullish trendline and are on bearish momentum. We see the potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 95.999 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st resistance at 96.375 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension 安定78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Technical indicators are showing bullish momentum. Alternatively, prices might dip towards our 2nd support at 95.522 in line with 78.6% and 50% Fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 96.375
  • H4 time frame, 1st support at 95.831

XAU/USD (GOLD):

On the H4 chart, prices have recently broken out of our ascending trendline and triangle. We see potential for a climb from our 1st support at 1780.6 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st resistance at 1796.63 which is a graphical overlap and also in line with 23.6% and 61.8%  Fibonacci retracement. Technical indicators are showing bullish momentum. Alternatively, breaking our 1st support might find prices dipping further towards our 2nd support at 1759.17  in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and 100% Fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

  • 4h 1st support at 1776.24
  • 4h 1st resistance at 1796.63

 

GBP/USD

On the H4 chart, price is trading on a descending trendline andis near the first resistance level of  1.33663 which is also 100% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially dip to the first support level of 1.31993 which is also the graphical overlap support level. Our bearish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator.

Areas of consideration :

H4 first resistance – 1.33663

H4 first support – 1.31993

USD/CHF

On the H4 timeframe, price  broke out of the ascending trendline support, signifying an overall bearish  momentum. We can expect price to drop from 1st Resistance in line with 127.2 % Fibonacci projection and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement towards 1st Support in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bearish bias is further supported by the price holding below the Ichimoku Cloud. Price is currently in between 1st Resistance and 1st Support, traders should wait for the price to swing higher or lower before entering.

Areas of consideration:

  • Watch 1st Support at 0.91733
  • Watch 1st Resistance at 0.92274

EUR/USD :

Price is trading in a descending channel and is near the first resistance level of 1.13739 which is also 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially dip to the first support level of 1.11886 which is also the graphical swing low level. Our bearish bias is supported by technical indicators.

Areas of consideration

1st resistance – 1.13739

1st support – 1.11886

USD/JPY

In reference to yesterday’s analysis, price indeed reached the 1st Support @ 113.052. On the H4 timeframe, price broke out of the ascending trendline support, signifying a bearish momentum.  We can now expect the price to drop from 1st Resistance in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards 1st Support in line with 61.8% FIbonacci projection and horizontal support. Our bearish bias is further supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator where price is holding below it .

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 1st resistance level 113.784
  • H4 1st support level 113.052

AUD/USD:

In reference to yesterday’s analysis price indeed dropped from the 1st Resistance level @ 0.71570. On the H4, price is abiding to the descending trendline resistance, signifying bearish momentum. We can expect the price to drop from 1st Resistance 38.2% Fibonacci retracement towards 1st Support in line with daily support.  Our bearish bias is further supported by the Ichimoku cloud indicator where price is holding below it.  Price is right now in the middle, traders should wait for the price to swing higher or lower before entering.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 1st resistance level 0.71570
  • H4 1st support level 0.70274

NZD/USD:

On the H4 timeframe, prices are on bearish momentum. We see a potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 0.67863 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st resistance at 0.68551 in line with 23.6% and 50% Fibonacci retracement before further bearish continuation. Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. If prices break our 1st resistance, prices can potentially climb higher towards our 2nd resistance at 0.69169 which is in line with 23.6% Fibonacci resistance and also a daily resistance.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.68554
  • H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.68763

USD/CAD:

On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from 1st support at 1.27727 in line with the graphical overlap support and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement to 1st resistance  at 1.28919 in line with the graphical swing high resistance  and 100% Fibonacci projection. Alternatively, we may see price break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 1.26479 in line with the horizontal swing low support.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, support at 27727
  • H4 time frame, resistance at 1.28919

OIL:

On the H4 timeframe, with price rejecting the support on the stochastics indicator and the horizontal graphical level, we have a bias that price will rise from 1st support at 68.07  in line with the 200% Fibonacci projection and horizontal overlap support to 1st resistance at 72.85  in line with the horizontal overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 64.94 in line with the horizontal swing low support.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 72.85
  • H4 time frame, 1st support of 07

Dow Jones Industrial Average:

On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud and approaching the support of the stochastics indicator, we are bias that price still have some room for a bearish move and will drop to 1st support at 33925 in line with the -61.8% Fibonacci expansion and possibly to 2nd support at 33631 in line with the swing low support from 1st resistance at 34376 in line with the -27% Fibonacci expansion and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance at 34838 in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.

  • 4H resistance at 34376
  • 4H support at 33925

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